UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Nov-12 15:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 106.93750,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -97%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -37%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 106.93750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 109.68750,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.59375, 142.31250,
• 6. Levels S: 106.93750, 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.5 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 109.375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 108.6875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.40625 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 109.6875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 112.75 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 43,
• VOLMA: 500937.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Nov 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.25 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 12 Nov 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.5 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 10 Nov 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.6875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 04 Nov 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The October recovery from 102.03125 to the November swing high at 110.65625 has reversed sharply, leaving a lower high beneath August resistance at 111.71875. The latest large bearish bar closes near its low and below all six benchmarks, reinforcing fast downside momentum and a developing pivot low at 106.93750. Weekly, monthly and yearly grid readings align bearishly. The rising 55-day average is the principal intermediate-term counterpoint, but price has broken beneath it. Recent short signals across short-, intermediate- and long-term horizons outweigh the earlier weekly long signal. The displayed resistance summary is inconsistent with the plotted chart labels; its values are reproduced above as requested, while plotted resistance is 117.31250, 111.71875 and 110.65625. The image alone does not establish a news catalyst or seasonal driver.