UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Nov-11 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 108.75,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -47%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -26%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 109.5625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 107.90625,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.59375, 142.31250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.71875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 109.34375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 108.53125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.40625 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 109.78125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 112.78125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 43,
• VOLMA: 500937.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Nov 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 10 Nov 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.6875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 04 Nov 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB completed a sharp October-to-early-November rebound from the 102.03125 swing-low area, but the advance stalled at the 109.5625 pivot high and has retraced toward the rising 20-day and 55-day averages. Small recent bars and slowing momentum reflect consolidation after the rebound rather than an impulsive continuation. The short-term pivot remains UTrend, although price is below the declining 5-day and 10-day averages and both weekly and monthly Fib-grid positioning remain below F0%, preserving a bearish swing-trend backdrop. Intermediate structure remains a DTrend, while the 100-day and 200-day averages continue to slope lower and remain well above price. The current pattern is a countertrend recovery within the broader decline, with 109.34375 to 109.78125 representing nearby moving-average overhead and 107.90625 the active pivot-reversal reference.