UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Nov-05 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.6875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 24%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 110.5,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 105.06250,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.59375 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 107.65625 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 109.96875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 115.75 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.4375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Nov 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 02 Nov 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.09375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly structure shows a fast V-shaped rebound from the 102.03125 swing low, with price recovering above the 5- and 10-week benchmarks and the short-term pivot trend turning upward. The rebound remains counter-trend on the broader chart because price is near but below the declining 20-week average and remains beneath the falling 55-, 100-, and 200-week benchmarks. The monthly grid is positive and recent WSFG/MSFG signals are long, while the yearly grid and intermediate HiLo pivot structure remain down. This creates a short-term recovery phase within a still-bearish long-term bond-futures cycle, with 110.5 as the active pivot-high reference and 105.06250 as the reversal-pivot reference.