UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Nov-04 07:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 109.4375,
Bars: Small,
Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 9%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Nov

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 5%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -23%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 110.3125,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 107.7500,
5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.59375, 147.00000,
6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 108.96875 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.87500 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 107.15625 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.12500 Up Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 110.03125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 112.96875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

03 Nov 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.6875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
02 Nov 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.09375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily chart reflects a strong recovery from the October low, with price holding above the rising 10-day, 20-day, and 55-day benchmarks and remaining above both weekly and monthly F0% levels. The short-term pivot structure remains in an uptrend, although the active pivot-high level at 110.3125 marks the nearby ceiling following the recent rally. Small recent bars and average momentum indicate consolidation beneath that swing high rather than an impulsive continuation. The intermediate structure has improved through higher lows and rising intermediate moving averages, while the broader trend remains negative because price is still beneath declining 100-day and 200-day benchmarks and below the yearly grid. This creates a countertrend rally profile within a longer-term bearish structure.