UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-21 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 106.6875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 77%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -29%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.06250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 105.25000,
• 5. Levels R: 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375, 147.00000,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.6875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 105.40625 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 105.03125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 107.78125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 110.5625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 20 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 106.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has staged a sharp rebound from the 102.03125 swing low and is holding above the rising 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks, supporting the short-term UTrend and positive weekly grid posture. The recovery remains a countertrend bounce within a broader declining structure, however, because the intermediate HiLo trend remains down and price is still beneath the falling 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages. The 108.06250 pivot high is the near-term structural ceiling, while 105.25000 is the pivot reversal level defining the current upswing. The market is consolidating after a high-volatility V-shaped recovery, with medium-sized daily bars and moderating momentum.