UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-20 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 106.78125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 71%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 103.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 105.87500 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 107.78125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.50000 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.40625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.75000 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 20 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 106.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has produced a sharp rebound from the 102.03125 swing-low support area, creating a short-term UTrend pivot condition and fast upside momentum. The rebound remains counter-trend within a broader bearish structure: price is below the 10-, 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-period benchmarks, while the intermediate HiLo pivot trend and yearly fib-grid trend remain down. The current rally is testing the 108.00000 evolving pivot-high area, with 103.00000 defining the next downside pivot threshold. The weekly grid is below F0% and the latest WSFG signal is short, whereas the monthly grid remains above F0%, characterizing the current action as a volatile retracement within a larger declining bond-futures cycle.