UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-20 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 106.28125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 71%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.06250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 105.25000,
• 5. Levels R: 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.69375, 147.00000,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.21875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 105.03125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 105.15625 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 107.31250 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 110.62500 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.43750 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 20 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 106.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The October rebound has created a short-term higher-low sequence from the 102.03125 swing low, with price holding above the rising 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks. The recovery remains counter-trend on the broader structure: price is below the declining 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages, while the intermediate HiLo pivot trend and annual fib-grid trend remain down. The recent rally tested the 108.06250 pivot-high area and was rejected, leaving price in a pullback/consolidation phase above the October monthly grid. Volatility is elevated relative to the prior summer range, while volume has moderated after the early-October expansion.