UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-19 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.78125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 71%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 103.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 187.28125, 153.43750, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 105.875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 107.78125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.5 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.40625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.75 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has produced a large, fast rebound from the 102.03125 swing support and the short-term pivot trend has turned upward, with 108.00000 defining the active pivot-high test. This recovery remains counter-trend within a broader lower-high and lower-low structure: price is below the weekly F0% area, below the 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-period benchmarks, while the yearly grid remains negative. The monthly grid retains an upward bias, creating a mixed intermediate-term condition, but the predominant long-term structure remains bearish.