UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-19 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.1875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 71%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.8750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 105.2500,
• 5. Levels R: 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.69375, 147.00000,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 105.78125 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 104.68750 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 105.28125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 107.87500 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 110.68750 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.46875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB has produced a sharp V-style rebound from the 102.03125 swing low, lifting price above the rising 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks and establishing a short-term UTrend. The recovery has stalled beneath the declining 55-day average at 107.875 and the 108.875 pivot-high reversal level, leaving the larger lower-high structure intact. October MSFG positioning is constructive above F0%, while the weekly grid remains below F0% and the yearly grid remains negative. This reflects a strong short-term countertrend bounce within an intermediate- and long-term bearish trend structure.