UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-18 18:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 108.00,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 116%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 81%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.00,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 103.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.43750, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 105.9375 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 107.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.50 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.4375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.75 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart shows a fast, large-bar rebound from the 102.03125 swing-low support area to 108.00, establishing a short-term UTrend and lifting price above the 5-period benchmark. The bounce remains countertrend within a broader bearish structure: the intermediate HiLo trend is down, price remains below the declining 20, 55, 100, and 200-period benchmarks, and the yearly fib-grid trend remains down. The 103.00000 pivot-next level defines the nearby downside reversal reference, while the recovery is developing beneath the 110.50 20-period benchmark and substantially below the 117.31250 area of nearer chart resistance.