UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-18 18:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.50000,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 116%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 81%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 105.25000,
• 5. Levels R: 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375, 147.00000,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 105.84375 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 104.71875 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 105.28125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 107.87500 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 110.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.46875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has produced a fast V-shaped rebound from the early-October 102.03125 swing low, restoring the short-term pivot structure to UTrend and lifting price above the rising 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks. The recovery is testing the declining 55-day average near 107.87500 after a sharp expansion in daily range and volume. The monthly and weekly Fib grids remain positive, while the intermediate HiLo structure and the declining 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages retain a broader countertrend and bearish long-term backdrop. The 108.03125 pivot-high area defines the immediate rebound peak, with 105.25000 the opposite-pivot level within the current short-term swing structure.