UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-16 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.875,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 82%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 63%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 103.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90825, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.43750, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.84375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.65625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB has produced a sharp V-style rebound from the 102.03125 swing-support area, lifting price above the weekly and monthly Fib-grid centers and establishing a short-term UTrend. The rebound is fast and large, but price remains beneath the falling 10-, 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-period benchmarks, preserving the broader downtrend structure. The 108.00000 evolving pivot high is the immediate swing reference, while the intermediate HiLo DTrend and yearly Fib position below F0% characterize the advance as a countertrend recovery within a longer-term bearish cycle.