UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-16 07:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 106.28125,
Bars: Large,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 82%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 63%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -30%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 108.03125,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 105.18750,
5. Levels R: 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.69375, 147.00000,
6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 105.21875 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 104.37500 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 105.93750 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 107.90625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 110.78125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.53125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price action shows a sharp V-style rebound from the 102.03125 swing-low area, with large-range bars and fast upside momentum lifting UB above its 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks. The short-term pivot and weekly grid structure are positive, although the active pivot-high evolution near 108.03125 defines the nearby countertrend ceiling. Intermediate structure remains mixed: the monthly grid is positive and the 20-day average has turned higher, while the HiLo pivot trend and 55-day average remain down. The broader yearly grid and declining 100- and 200-day averages retain a bearish long-term backdrop, framing the current advance as a strong recovery phase within a larger downtrend.