UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-15 07:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 106.875,
Bars: Large,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 91%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 71%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -29%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 107.34375,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 102.34375,
5. Levels R: 136.59375, 126.59375, 122.96875, 121.84250, 117.31250,
6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.125 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.84375 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.65625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB has produced a sharp, high-momentum rebound from the 102.03125 swing-low area, creating a short-term UTrend and lifting price above the weekly and monthly F0% reference zones. The recovery remains a counter-trend move within the broader decline: the intermediate HiLo structure is still DTrend and price remains below every displayed weekly benchmark, with the 20, 55, 100, and 200 period averages descending. The current pivot-high evolution is centered near 107.34375, while the next opposite pivot level is 102.34375; this defines a wide, volatile weekly range following the recent V-style rebound. The monthly grid is constructive, but the yearly grid remains below F0% and down, preserving the longer-term bearish backdrop.