UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-15 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.0625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 91%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 71%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -29%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 107.9375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 104.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.69375, 147.00000,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 104.625 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 104.03125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 105.46875 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 107.9375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 108.3125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.5625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB has produced a sharp V-recovery from the 102.03125 swing-low area, with large-range upside bars lifting price above the weekly and monthly F0% levels and restoring a short-term UTrend. The recovery is supported by rising 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks, but price remains beneath declining 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages, preserving the broader intermediate-to-long-term bearish structure. The current rebound is testing the 107.9375 pivot-high and 55-day benchmark zone; the market remains a countertrend rally within a longer-term downtrend unless the sequence of lower highs is materially altered.