UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-14 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 104.84375,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -34%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 106.90625,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 187.28125, 151.34375,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.12500 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.12500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.84375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.65625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 13 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart is attempting a small rebound from the 102.03125 swing-low support area, reflected by the recent short-term long signals and price positioning above the weekly and monthly Fib-grid centers. The dominant structure remains bearish: both pivot trends are down, the latest sequence retains lower highs and lower lows, and price remains beneath every benchmark average from the 5-period through the 200-period. The developing pivot low requires a recovery through 106.90625 to establish a new short-term pivot high; until then, the bounce reads as a counter-trend retracement within the broader 2026 decline.