UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-14 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 105.06250,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -34%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 105.18750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 102.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375, 147.00000,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 104.12500 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 103.84375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 105.62500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.00000 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 110.87500 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.62500 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 13 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily chart shows a fast short-term recovery from the early-October swing low near 102.03, with price above the rising 5-day and 10-day benchmarks and the short-term pivot structure evolving into an UTrend. The rebound has reached a new pivot high near 105.19, but price remains just beneath the declining 20-day average at 105.63 and well below the falling 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks. This creates a counter-trend bounce within a broader intermediate- and long-term downtrend, while the October MSFG remains positively positioned above its F0% level.