UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-13 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 102.6875,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 25%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -35%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 106.90625,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90825, 211.46875, 187.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.84375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.65625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 12 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.53125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a pronounced weekly decline, with price beneath every benchmark average and each average aligned lower. The short-term and monthly fib grids retain an upward recovery bias, but that counter-trend structure has not displaced the active DTrend pivot sequence. The 102.03125 pivot low defines the immediate downside reference, while 106.90625 is the next pivot-reversal threshold. Recent long-system signals reflect the attempted rebound from depressed levels, whereas the prevailing lower-high and lower-low structure, below-yearly F0% positioning, and fast downside momentum maintain a broadly bearish swing-trend character.