UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-12 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 102.6875,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -37%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 106.90625,
• 5. Levels R: 136.59375, 125.59375, 122.96875, 121.81250, 117.31250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.84375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.65625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.53125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 09 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly price action remains in a fast, persistent selloff, printing a new pivot low near 102.03125 while holding beneath every tracked benchmark. The short-term pivot and HiLo structures remain in DTrend, with lower highs and lower lows defining the dominant chart pattern. Recent long system signals and the positive October monthly grid represent an intermediate countertrend recovery theme, but price has not yet reclaimed the 5-, 10-, or 20-week benchmarks. The yearly grid remains below its F0% centerline and the long-term moving-average stack is uniformly declining, preserving the broader bearish cycle.