UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-12 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 104.125,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -37%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 105.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 103.625 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 103.84375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 106.0608 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.28125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.75 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.53125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 09 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is consolidating in small-range bars after a sharp September-to-October decline and a fresh pivot low near 102.03125. The short-term 5- and 10-day benchmarks have turned upward and recent system signals are long, indicating a countertrend recovery phase; however, the weekly grid remains below its F0% area and the active pivot structure remains in DTrend. Intermediate and long-term structure remains decisively bearish, with price below the declining 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks. The 105.03125 pivot-next level defines the nearby upside structural reversal threshold, while 102.03125 remains the key swing-low reference.