UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-11 18:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 102.09375,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -37%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 106.90625,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.84375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.65625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 123.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 09 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 09 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.25 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is in a decisive weekly selloff, printing a fresh pivot low at 102.03125 with large bars and fast downside momentum. The short-term fib signals remain positive countertrend readings, but price is materially below every weekly benchmark and both pivot structures remain in DTrend. The 106.90625 next-pivot level defines the nearest meaningful upside reversal threshold, while the 102.03125 low is the active downside reference. The yearly grid remains below its F0% level and the declining 200-day benchmark confirms the broader bearish price cycle.