UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-11 18:08 CT

Price Action

Last: 103.625,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 8%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 5%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -37%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.03125,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 105.03125,
5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 103.625 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 103.875 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 106.08 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.28125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.03125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.75 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

09 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
09 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.25 Signals.USAR-WSFG
08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains within a major daily downtrend, with price well below the declining 20, 55, 100, and 200 day benchmarks and both swing-pivot trend measures in DTrend. The October low near 102.03125 produced a short-term rebound and price has recovered above the weekly and monthly Fib-grid centers, supporting a near-term basing and countertrend-bounce structure. The 103.875 10 day average and 105.03125 next pivot level define the nearby overhead recovery area, while 102.03125 remains the active swing-low reference. ATR is elevated following the sharp September-October selloff, while the recent smaller bars indicate slowing downside momentum and consolidation near the lows rather than a confirmed intermediate trend reversal.