UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-09 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 103.9375,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -37%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 105.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 102.03125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 103.5 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 104 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 106.1875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.4375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.9375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 113.8125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 09 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 08 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103.25 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a pronounced daily downtrend, defined by lower highs, lower lows, bearish pivot structure, and price below the declining 20, 55, 100, and 200-day benchmarks. The recent decline has extended into the 102.03125 pivot-low area, while the small recent bars and slowing momentum indicate consolidation after a sharp selloff. Weekly and monthly Fib-grid readings are modestly positive and the 5-day and 10-day benchmarks have turned higher, framing the current action as a short-term recovery attempt within a broader bearish structure. The 105.03125 next-pivot threshold marks the nearby structural reversal reference, while 102.03125 remains the principal downside pivot support.