UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-06 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 102.1875,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• MSFG Trend: Neutral.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -38%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.1875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 105.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 115.34375, 115.04375, 115.00625, 114.71875, 114.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 102.50000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 103.71875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 105.25 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 107.03125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 108.96875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.03125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 102.6875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 28 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 105.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price action is in an accelerated bearish continuation, marked by large downward bars, fast downside momentum, and a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The short-term pivot trend and intermediate-term HiLo trend are both down, while price is beneath every daily benchmark from the 5-day through the 200-day average. The October MSFG is neutral at its center zone, but the weekly and yearly grids remain below their F0% areas, preserving the broader downside structure. The recent decline has expanded ATR and pushed price toward the 102.50000 support area, while 105.40625 defines the next pivot-reversal threshold. The current swing profile remains a persistent selloff rather than a completed basing pattern.