UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-05 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 103.65625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -38%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 102.6525,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 107.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 136.59375, 127.59375, 122.96875, 121.84250, 117.31250,
• 6. Levels S: 102.6525.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 107.3125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.65625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 111.25 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 124.15625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Oct 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 104.5 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 28 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 105.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly UB remains in a broad, accelerating decline marked by lower swing highs and lower swing lows. Price is below the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid reference areas and beneath every benchmark average, confirming aligned bearish trend structure across all measured horizons. The October long signal reflects a counter-trend response near the 102.6525 pivot low, while the active pivot structure remains DTrend until a new swing-high reversal develops above 107.46875. The large recent bars and fast downside momentum indicate elevated directional volatility following the latest breakdown.