UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-02 07:11 CT

Price Action

Last: 104.125,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -56%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 8%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -37%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 102.0625,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 105.40625,
5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.0625, 150.4375, 149.71875, 149.59375,
6. Levels S: 102.65625.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 104.5 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 106.375 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 107.71875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 109.40825 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.59375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.15625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

01 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 102.96875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
28 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 105.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad, persistent decline, with both the short-term pivot structure and intermediate HiLo structure in DTrend. Price has rebounded from the 102.0625 pivot low, but remains below every daily benchmark from the 5-day through 200-day averages, defining the move as a countertrend bounce within a larger bearish price cycle. Fast momentum and expanding ATR reflect elevated volatility following the sharp September selloff. The October monthly grid is marginally positive, while the weekly and yearly grids remain negative; this highlights a localized rebound against dominant weekly, intermediate, and long-term downside pressure. The 105.40625 pivot-next level defines the nearby swing reversal threshold, while 102.65625 remains the closest listed support area.