UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Oct-01 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 103.1875,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -74%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Oct

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -38%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 103.1875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 105.62500,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 102.87500.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 105 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 106.90625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 108 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 109.59375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.6875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.21875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 01 Oct 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 103 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 28 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 105.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 23 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.78125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is in a broad, accelerating decline marked by lower highs and lower lows. Price is below every benchmark average, the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid biases are down, and both pivot-trend measures remain in DTrend. The late-September breakdown carried price beneath the monthly grid and toward 102.87500 support, while the 105.62500 next-pivot level defines the nearest meaningful countertrend recovery reference. Expanding daily range and firm volume activity accompany the selloff, reflecting fast downside momentum rather than a completed basing structure.