UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-30 07:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 104.8125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -35%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -110%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -35%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 103.5,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 106.59375,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 103.90625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 105.78125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 107.375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 108.28125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 109.8125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.8125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.28125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 28 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 105.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 23 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.78125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is in a decisive downside continuation, trading beneath every benchmark average and materially below the September monthly grid. The daily pivot structure remains bearish, with both short-term Pvt. Trend and intermediate-term HiLo Trend in DTrend. The recent decline has accelerated through the 5-day and 10-day benchmarks, producing fast momentum and expanded range behavior. The 103.90625 support area is the nearest completed pivot reference, while 106.59375 defines the next upside pivot-reversal level. The broader sequence remains lower highs and lower lows, reinforced by downward-sloping 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages.