UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-29 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 104.5625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -98%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -34%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 104.5625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 107.18750,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 104.56250.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 106.75 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 107.75 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 108.59375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 110.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 111.90625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.34375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 28 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 105.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 23 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.78125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is in a broad, synchronized decline: price is beneath every daily benchmark, the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid biases are below F0%, and both pivot trend measures remain in DTrend. The latest large-range decline accelerated through the prior September structure and extended to a new pivot low at 104.5625, reflecting fast downside momentum. The 104.5625 pivot low is the immediate structural reference, while the next opposite pivot threshold is 107.18750; the 5-day through 200-day averages remain stacked overhead with declining trends. Elevated range expansion and the recent short-term sell signals characterize a continuation phase rather than a developed base, although the stretched distance below short-term averages can produce sharp countertrend rebounds within the prevailing downtrend.