UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-28 07:11 CT

Price Action

Last: 105.0625,
Bars: Large,
Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -13%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -95%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -33%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 105.0625,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 107.68750,
5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
6. Levels S: 105.12500.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 107.625 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 108.875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 110.21875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 112.06000 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.40625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

28 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 105.3125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
23 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.78125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB futures are in a broad, synchronized decline: price is below every daily benchmark, below the weekly and monthly Fib-grid centers, and both short-term pivot structure and intermediate HiLo structure remain in DTrend. The latest large-range selloff extended beneath the 105.12500 pivot-support reference and produced a new evolving pivot low at 105.0625, reflecting fast downside momentum and expanding daily volatility. The 107.68750 next-pivot threshold defines the nearest meaningful countertrend recovery level, while the 5-day through 200-day averages remain bearishly stacked and declining. Recent action resembles a downside continuation following failed September recovery attempts, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the swing structure.