UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-25 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 105.84375,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -116%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -90%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -31%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 105.84375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 110.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 105.84375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.5 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 124.5625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 23 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.78125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 23 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.4375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 18 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.65625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad, synchronized decline: price is below every benchmark average, all benchmark trends are down, and the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid readings remain below their respective F0%/NTZ areas. The swing structure is producing a new pivot low at 105.84375 following lower highs and lower lows, while fast downside momentum and large weekly bars reflect persistent liquidation pressure. The 110.46875 pivot-next level defines the nearest structural rebound threshold; price remains materially below the clustered 5-, 10-, and 20-week benchmarks, reinforcing the prevailing bearish swing-cycle character.