UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-23 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.4375,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -15%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 107.4375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 112.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 231.9025, 214.6875, 187.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 107.4375.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.0000 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.1250 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.1250 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 124.5625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 21 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 18 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.65625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is pressing a fresh pivot low at 107.4375 after a persistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The weekly grid retains a short-term upward bias, but it conflicts with the monthly and yearly grids, both of which remain below their F0% levels and in established downtrends. All benchmark averages are declining and positioned above price, confirming broad multi-timeframe downside structure. The recent short-term long signals appear counter-trend against the dominant bearish pivot, benchmark, and longer-cycle conditions, while 112.0000 defines the next swing-pivot reversal threshold.