UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-22 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.43750,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 45%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -21%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 107.43750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 112.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90825, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 104.43750.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.60000 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.12500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.12500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 124.56250 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 22 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 21 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 109.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 18 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.65625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad weekly decline with a sequence of lower pivot highs and lower pivot lows. Price is beneath every benchmark average, with the 5 through 200-period averages all declining, confirming persistent downside alignment across timeframes. The recent long short-term signals contrast with the active DTrend pivot structure and reflect a countertrend rebound attempt that failed to hold above the 109.22 to 109.81 signal area. The 107.43750 pivot low is the immediate structural reference, while 112.00000 is the reversal threshold required to establish a new swing high. Yearly grid positioning remains below F0%, reinforcing the dominant long-term bearish cycle.