UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-21 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.43750,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 109.68750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 107.43750,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 107.43750.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 108.62500 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.90625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 109.90625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 110.75000 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 112.34375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.68750 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.65625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 18 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.65625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 16 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 108.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily structure reflects a fast short-term rebound from the 107.43750 swing-low area, with price above the weekly F0% level, a newly positive pivot trend, and the 5-day average turning upward. The recovery remains counter-trend on the broader chart: price is below the September MSFG F0%, 20-day, 55-day, 100-day, and 200-day benchmarks, while the intermediate pivot structure remains in a downtrend. Recent medium-range bars and a 46 ATR indicate active volatility, and the current rebound is testing the lower edge of a broader declining moving-average alignment.