UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-20 18:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 108.65625,
Bars: Small,
Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 37%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -18%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -23%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 109.1,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 107.43750,
5. Levels R: 111.34375, 111.06250, 110.43750, 109.71875, 109.59375,
6. Levels S: 107.43750.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 108.625 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 108.90625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 109.90625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 110.75 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 112.34375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.6875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

18 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.65625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
18 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.65625 Signals.USAR.TR120
16 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 108.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Neutral,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is attempting a short-term rebound from the 107.43750 swing low, reflected by the UTrend pivot condition, weekly grid strength, and price holding marginally above the rising 5-day benchmark. The rebound remains structurally countertrend within the broader decline: price is below the 10-, 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks, while both monthly and yearly Fib-grid conditions remain negative. Small daily bars and slow momentum indicate consolidation after the bounce rather than a decisive upside continuation. The 109.59375 to 111.34375 pivot-resistance band defines the overhead lower-high structure, while 107.43750 remains the principal swing support and reversal threshold.