UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-18 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.4375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 46%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 107.4375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 112.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 107.43750.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.6875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.53125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.4375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.9375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.90625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 124.71875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 16 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 108.75 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 16 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 108.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 10 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.53125 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad weekly decline, with price beneath every benchmark average and both the monthly and yearly Fib grids retaining downward structure. The short-term weekly grid and recent long signals reflect a rebound from the 107.4375 pivot low, but the pivot trend remains down and price is still below the 5- and 10-week benchmarks. The 112.0000 pivot-reversal level is the nearest structural upside reference; until then, the action reads as a fast countertrend bounce within a larger sequence of lower highs and lower lows.