UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-18 07:13 CT

Price Action

Last: 109.93750,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 46%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -8%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -22%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 109.93750,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 107.43750,
5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
6. Levels S: 107.43750.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 108.53125 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 109.03125 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 109.71875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 110.81250 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 112.40625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.71875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

16 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 108.75 Signals.USAR.TR120
16 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 108.59375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
10 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.53125 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is staging a fast short-term recovery from the 107.43750 swing low, with price above the rising 5-day and 10-day benchmarks and the weekly fib grid holding an upward bias. The rebound has developed as a sharp V-style bounce, but it remains a counter-trend rally within a broader intermediate- and long-term decline. Price is testing the underside of the declining 20-day average and remains below the 55-day, 100-day, and 200-day benchmarks, preserving the larger bearish structure of lower highs and lower lows. The September monthly grid remains below F0%, while the yearly grid also remains negative, indicating that the recent recovery has not yet altered the dominant downtrend.