UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-16 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.43750,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -25%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 107.43750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.93750,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 151.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 107.43750.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.6875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.53125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.4375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.9375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.90625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 124.71875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.8125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 10 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.53125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 09 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 109.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.09375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is pressing a fresh pivot low at 107.43750 after a persistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The weekly grid remains marginally above its F0% reference, but that countertrend condition is outweighed by a DTrend pivot structure, rapid downside momentum, and clustered recent short signals. Price is beneath every weekly benchmark, with all six averages declining; the 109.6875 to 116.90625 moving-average band defines the overhead retracement and resistance zone. Monthly and yearly Fib-grid readings remain below F0%, confirming that the broader cycle is still a declining bond-futures structure rather than a sustained recovery.