UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-15 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 107.8125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -26%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 107.8125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 109.6250,
• 5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 107.43750.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 108.875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 109.40825 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 109.90825 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 111.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 112.625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 107.8125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 10 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 108.53125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 09 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 109.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.09375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad multi-month decline marked by lower highs and lower lows, with price below every benchmark average and below the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid centers. The latest decline extended into the 107.43750 swing-support area, followed by a modest rebound bar, but the active pivot structure remains DTrend and requires a move through 109.6250 to establish the next swing-high reversal. The 5-, 10-, and 20-day averages are declining overhead, while the 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages confirm persistent intermediate- and long-term downside alignment. Recent price action reflects a sharp selloff with elevated directional momentum rather than a completed basing pattern.