UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-09 07:12 CT

Price Action

Last: 109.21875,
Bars: Small,
Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 1%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Sep

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 13%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -20%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.1875,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.28125,
5. Levels R: 111.34375, 111.06250, 110.43750, 109.71875, 109.59375,
6. Levels S: 109.21875, 108.40625.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.90625 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.40625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.1875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 111.46875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 112.90625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 115.09375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

09 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
08 Sep 2026: Short UB 12-26 @ 109.71875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
03 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.25 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is consolidating near 109.22 after a sharp August rebound failed beneath the 111.28 pivot-high reversal threshold. Small recent bars and slower momentum indicate compression, while the active short-term pivot structure remains down and price is below every daily benchmark from the 5-day through 200-day averages. Weekly and monthly Fib-grid readings remain above their F0% levels, describing a counter-trend recovery within a broader bearish structure. The near-term range is framed by support at 109.22 and 108.41, with layered pivot resistance from 109.59 through 111.34. The yearly grid, intermediate pivot structure, and uniformly declining moving averages continue to characterize the larger price cycle as bearish.