UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-04 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.25,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -30%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 108.0625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 112.96875,
• 5. Levels R: 231.90625, 211.46875, 167.28125, 151.34375, 151.0625,
• 6. Levels S: 108.40625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.6875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 111.78125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 113.09375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 115.375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.25 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 124.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.25 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 03 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.25 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly price action remains in a broad bearish structure, with a fresh pivot low near 108.0625 and price positioned beneath the 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 week benchmarks. The September monthly grid remains marginally positive, creating a countertrend backdrop, but the declining HiLo structure and uniformly falling intermediate-to-long-term averages maintain downside control. The 108.40625 support area is the immediate swing reference, while 112.96875 is the next pivot-high reversal threshold; movement between these levels defines the current compressed recovery-versus-continuation cycle.