UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Sep-04 07:13 CT

Price Action

Last: 109.875,
Bars: Small,
Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -30%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Sep

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 11%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -20%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.125,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.46875,
5. Levels R: 151.34375, 151.06250, 150.43750, 149.71875, 149.59375,
6. Levels S: 109.21875, 108.40625.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.0625 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.40625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.1875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 111.5625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 113.03125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 115.1875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 34.375,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

03 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.25 Signals.USAR.TR120
03 Sep 2026: Long UB 12-26 @ 110.25 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains within a broader declining structure, trading beneath all major intermediate- and long-term benchmark averages despite a modest September MSFG recovery above its monthly F0% area. Price action has compressed into small daily bars near 109.875 following the August low, indicating slow momentum and consolidation rather than a confirmed upside reversal. The short-term pivot structure remains in DTrend, with 109.21875 and 108.40625 defining nearby support while 111.46875 remains the next pivot-reversal threshold. The current pattern reflects a countertrend bounce within a larger sequence of lower highs and lower lows, while declining 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages maintain bearish longer-cycle alignment.