UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-25 07:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 111.125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 56%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 25%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 111.125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 109.21875,
• 5. Levels R: 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250, 149.93750,
• 6. Levels S: 108.75000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.40625 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.28125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.85025 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.3125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 113.8125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 115.875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 25 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 25 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.3125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 24 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily chart shows a fast short-term rebound from the August 108.75 swing low, with price above the weekly and monthly F0% references and above the 5-, 10-, and 20-day benchmarks. The current pivot structure is an UTrend, although the intermediate HiLo structure remains neutral after the broader July-to-August decline. The recovery has reclaimed the August NTZ area and is testing the lower portion of nearby overhead swing resistance around 111.875 to 113.00. Longer-term structure remains downward because price is below the declining 55-, 100-, and 200-day averages and the yearly fib-grid bias remains below F0%.