UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-21 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 111.21875,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 108.75000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 113.31250,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40825,
• 6. Levels S: 108.75000.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 111.09375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 113.96875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.53125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 19 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is showing a small rebound from the 108.75000 pivot low, placing price above the weekly and monthly F0% levels; however, the broader weekly structure remains bearish. Pivot Trend and HiLo Trend are both in DTrend, while price remains below the 10-, 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-period benchmarks. The current bounce is occurring within a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with 113.31250 defining the next pivot-high reversal level. The long-term yearly grid remains below F0% and the benchmark stack is uniformly declining, maintaining a dominant downside technical backdrop despite the near-term fib-grid recovery.