UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-21 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 111.09375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 111.1875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 109.21875,
• 5. Levels R: 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250, 149.93750,
• 6. Levels S: 108.75000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.09375 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.34375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.4375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 113.90625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 115.96875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 19 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is staging a fast short-term recovery from the August low near 108.75, with the current pivot trend, weekly grid, monthly grid, and 5-day/10-day benchmarks aligned upward. The rally has reached a developing pivot high near 111.1875 and is occurring beneath declining 20-day, 55-day, 100-day, and 200-day benchmarks, leaving the intermediate and long-term structure in a broader corrective downtrend. Price action reflects a sharp V-style bounce with expanding recent activity, while the next pivot reversal threshold is 109.21875.