UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-20 07:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 110.21875,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 19%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 1%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -19%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 111.75,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 109.21875,
5. Levels R: 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250, 149.93750,
6. Levels S: 108.75000.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.15625 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.34375 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.875 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.5 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 113.96875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.03125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

19 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has staged a fast rebound from the 108.75000 swing-support area, restoring the short-term pivot structure to UTrend and placing price above the weekly F0% level. The recovery remains a countertrend bounce within a broader long-term decline: price remains beneath the 20, 55, 100, and 200-day benchmark structure, while the yearly grid and long-term averages remain down. The August monthly grid is marginally positive and the intermediate pivot structure is neutral, reflecting consolidation rather than confirmed intermediate trend reversal. Recent medium-range bars and rising ATR indicate expanded daily movement, while the rally has approached the 111.75 evolving pivot-high area following a sharp V-style recovery from early-August lows.