UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-19 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.3750,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -12%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -21%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 108.7500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 113.3500,
• 5. Levels R: 232.2500, 211.8125, 167.6250, 151.6875, 151.4063,
• 6. Levels S: 108.7500.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 111.0938 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.1250 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 113.9688 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.0938 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.0313 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.5313 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.6875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly structure is in a broad, synchronized decline: price is below the weekly, monthly, and yearly F0%/NTZ areas, while all six benchmark averages are declining and positioned above price. The latest selloff extended to the 108.7500 pivot-low support area with large bars and fast downside momentum, confirming lower highs and lower lows. A short-term pivot reversal would require recovery through 113.3500, while the current structure remains defined by the new low and persistent bearish signal alignment.