UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-19 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.28,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -12%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -21%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 108.6,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250, 149.93750,
• 6. Levels S: 108.75000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 109.96875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 110.890625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.5625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.00 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.0625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.6875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price remains beneath the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid centers and below every benchmark average, confirming broad multi-timeframe downside alignment. The swing structure retains lower highs and lower lows, with the latest pivot low near 108.6 followed by a modest rebound toward 109.28. The 111.0000 pivot-next level defines the nearby structural reversal threshold, while the 5-day and 10-day averages near 109.97 and 110.38 form immediate overhead trend pressure. ATR and recent medium-sized bars indicate active but contained volatility during a decline that is attempting a short-term bounce from the August low.