UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-18 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 108.75000,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -51%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -34%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -24%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 108.75000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 113.25000,
• 5. Levels R: 123.25000, 121.81250, 117.62500, 115.68750, 115.40825,
• 6. Levels S: 108.75000.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 111.09375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.12500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 113.96875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.53125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.6875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad weekly selloff, with price extending beneath the Weekly, Monthly, and Yearly Fib-grid F0%/NTZ areas. Fast downside momentum, a developing pivot low at 108.75000, and bearish alignment across every benchmark confirm persistent lower-high and lower-low structure. The 113.25000 pivot-next level defines the nearest swing reversal threshold, while the clustered 115.40825 to 117.62500 resistance zone marks the first meaningful overhead retracement area within the established downtrend.