UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-18 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 108.75000,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -51%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -34%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -24%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 108.75000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 115.16875, 115.140625, 115.078125, 115.006250, 114.993750,
• 6. Levels S: 108.75000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.1216 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.53125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 111.103125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.6875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.0625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.6875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 17 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad synchronized decline, with price below the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid centers and below every daily benchmark average. The swing structure is defined by lower highs and lower lows, while the current 108.75000 pivot low reflects persistent downside momentum. The 111.00000 pivot-next level and the declining 5-, 10-, and 20-day averages frame the nearest countertrend recovery zone, while volume remains moderate relative to the recent selloff. The August range has transitioned from consolidation into a fresh downside extension, consistent with the active short-term and intermediate-term bearish signal sequence.